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- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
No Comments‘How do they expect us to work? Under a tree?’
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- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
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‘In the scramble to adopt AI, humanitarian actors risk neglecting their core values.’
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Conflict in Western DRC simmers unnoticed amid rebel gains in the East
- February 16, 2024
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
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‘They’ve received no assistance, they’re abandoned to their fate.’
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Trends driving humanitarian need in 2024 (and what to do about them)
- January 12, 2024
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Humanitarian, International
Here are seven key trends likely to leave millions of people in need of food, medical care, shelter, or other humanitarian aid over the next year; plus, some ideas on what governments, aid groups, or individuals might do differently so 2025 looks a little better.
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PALESTINE-ISRAEL : Humanitarian impact overview one month since the conflict
- November 13, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Humanitarian, International
This report provides an overview of how the humanitarian situation has evolved
over the past month since the attack on Israel on 7 October 2023. -
Libya and Morocco disasters, ICRC layoffs, and UNGA’s to-do list: The Cheat Sheet
- September 19, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
A weekly read to keep you in the loop on humanitarian issues.
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How mutual aid networks are powering Sudan’s humanitarian response
- August 17, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
‘The beautiful thing is that we come together and spend time doing this.’
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What the latest funding data says about the humanitarian system
- July 19, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
Longer crises, growing aid dependence, and a system at its limits
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‘Grain deal or not’, humanitarians call for more as hunger soars
- May 26, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
The UN has launched a $1bn appeal, but the response will have to scale up fast given the vast needs of millions affected.
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CRISISINSIGHT: GLOBAL RISK ANALYSIS
- March 27, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
The UN has launched a $1bn appeal, but the response will have to scale up fast given the vast needs of millions affected.
CRISISINSIGHT: GLOBAL RISK ANALYSIS
- March 27, 2023
- Posted by: Innovative Aid Strategy & Consulting
- Categories: Funding trends, Humanitarian, International, International Development
![](https://ias.consulting/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Global-risk-analysis-1032x550.png)
From ACAPS, published on March 2023
View Original
INTRODUCTION
ACAPS analysts conduct the daily monitoring and independent analysis of more than 150 countries, including regular risk analysis.ACAPS’ Global Risk Analysis outlines a number of key contexts where new crises may emerge or where a particular situation may notably deteriorate within the next six months, causing a spike in humanitarian needs.
The risks included in this report were based on the identification of:
• ‘Newly emerging crises’ (new risks) following new events or factors (triggers) that may emerge over the coming six months. Such triggers would point towards a hazard materialising, which would result in new or more severe humanitarian needs in a monitored context.
• Potential ‘rapid and marked deterioration’ in an existing crisis include existing crises that, because of a combination of deteriorating trends and new events or pre-existing factors, may significantly deteriorate in the next six months, leading to worse humanitarian outcomes.
We run trend analysis to identify such risks. However, a steadily deteriorating humanitarian situation that continues at the same rate is considered a trend instead of a risk. This report does not include trends.
ACAPS identifies risks at the regional, country, or subnational level:
ACAPS has identified risks over the next six months in the following 10 locations to alert humanitarian decision makers and responders on the possible emergence of new crises or significant deteriorations of existing humanitarian crises. The aim is to support preparedness for a timely and adequate response.
ACAPS METHODOLOGY AND PROCESS
The ACAPS risk methodology defines risk as the probability of a hazard or multiple hazards materialising, combined with the estimated impact of such hazards. The associated risk level (low, medium, or high) rises with the hazard’s probability of occurring and the severity of its expected impact.
Impact is the predicted overall humanitarian consequence of a hazard materialising. It can be an increase in the number of people needing assistance, the severity of their needs, or both. The impact is based on the assessment of different components:
• exposure to the hazard (how many people are likely to be affected?)
• the intensity of the hazard (how will the hazard affect people?)
• the population’s vulnerability (to shocks)
• and coping capacity (to deteriorating living and humanitarian conditions).
ACAPS classifies impact on a five-point scale: very low, low, moderate, significant, or major.
Probability is the chance of a hazard materialising. ACAPS assesses probability on a five-point scale: very low, low, medium, high, or very high.
Probability and impact levels are not mathematically calculated but assigned through expert judgement based on context knowledge.
The overall risk level is the combination of the two, meaning it is also assigned through expert judgement.
For more information, please visit acaps.org
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